Models & Statistics
What changes when information arrives late, moves underneath you, or refuses to behave like the model?
Currently: Clock Dataset — What was actually knowable at the moment of a decision?
Tune inSekiya
Independent computation
Independent computer science and computational experimentation, published with evidence clear enough to inspect and limits clear enough to trust.
Enter the research indexThe work
Some work is still private. It belongs in the index anyway.
14 entriesWhat was actually knowable at the moment of a decision?
When does a score stop being enough for a finite-capacity decision?
How much can a model’s trouble be diagnosed before its labels arrive?
Is the system after release still the one you tested?
Evaluating policies when outcomes arrive late, selectively, and after the policy has changed.
How an experiment can manufacture confidence from a market with no signal.
A controlled look at when correlation-matrix denoising helps—and when it does not.
Known-tail experiments for finding where familiar estimators bend or break.
A successful empty audit query did not establish an empty record — 192 records sat in the log the whole time.
Range harnesses, evidence ledgers, and provenance tools for difficult systems questions.
When a transformed event record still supports the same security conclusion.
A deliberate open shelf for work on autonomous software, tools, and accountable coordination.
GPU-first compute and rendering for typed simulation state.
A deterministic field for watching a local shock remain bounded—or become a cascade.
Ways in
Different ways of following a system until it starts saying something interesting.
What changes when information arrives late, moves underneath you, or refuses to behave like the model?
Currently: Clock Dataset — What was actually knowable at the moment of a decision?
Tune inTraces, hidden state, recoveries, and the gap between what a system says and what it did.
Tune inAutonomous software, tool use, coordination, and agents with some explaining to do.
Tune inSimulation, visual systems, unusual machinery, and complexity made visible.
Tune inOpen questions
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